Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Milwaukee Brewers (44-30) and San Diego Padres (38-40) open a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’slines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

Milwaukee has won back-to-back games after taking down the Los Angeles Angels 2-0 Wednesday and cashing as a -180 road favorite.SSWilly Adames and 1B Rhys Hoskins each had an RBI. RHPFreddy Peraltaallowed just 3 hits and 2 walks with 8 K’s in 6 innings.

San Diego snapped a 5-game losing streak Wednesday with a 5-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies as a +166 road underdog. C Kyle Higashioka led the way on offense with a bases-clearing triple in the 8th inning, while RHP Matt Waldronstruck out 6 batters in 7 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Brewers at Padres projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. RHP Adam Mazur

Wilson (4-3, 3.84 ERA) makes his 9th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home victory against Cincinnati Reds Saturday
• 2024 vs. Padres: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (3 2/3 IP), 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 1-0 home win April 17
• Career vs. Padres: 1-0, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

Mazur (0-2, 7.82 ERA) makes his 4th start. The rookie has a 2.05 WHIP, 9.2 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 12 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 4 K in 5-1 defeat at New York Mets Saturday
• 2024 home stats: 0-1, 24.00 ERA (3 IP, 8 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 9-3 loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks June 9
• Has never faced Brewers before

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Brewers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-105).

Milwaukee has won 4 of its last 5 games and scored 5 or more runs in 4 of its last 7. It has allowed 3 or fewer runs in back-to-back games and 5 of its last 9. The Brewers will open the series with a win against Mazur, who has struggled mightily in the majors.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Brewers have failed to hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 5. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games while allowing 4 or fewer in 4 straight.

San Diego has hit the Under in 6 of its last 10 games, including 2 straight. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 6 games while allowing 4 or fewer in 6 of its last 9.

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